[Chappers 71]

Originally Posted by Gemini562

Yeah, but the real concern is that the odds are going up. It was 2.3% last week, now it’s 3.1%. If that trend keeps up, it won’t stay a ‘small chance’ for long. Kinda gives off 'Don’t Look Up' vibes.

And the percentage will continue to rise as more info becomes available. This is because with new information, the uncertainty about the area through which the asteroid will pass is gradually decreasing. But since it initially still has Earth in it, it will occupy an increasing portion of the reduced area and the estimate of the probability of impact will increase accordingly. This is usually a temporary phenomenon. Most likely, in the course of further observations, the Earth will move out of the uncertainty area, after which the probability of impact will decrease to zero…..or it doesn’t then you can start worrying

[wizardofOz]

I'm worried right now cos I'm 100% starving..

I mean if it hits...It hits..We can only do what we can

[kscarrol]

Down to a 1.5% chance now...

https://www.space.com/asteroid-2024y...risk-drop-nasa