bimmerpost/
BMW M2 and 2-Series Coupe
BMW Garage BMW Meets Register Today's Posts
home
BIMMERPOST Universal Forums Off-Topic Discussions Board

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      02-08-2016, 01:28 PM   #5567
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

The breakdown order....gold, oil, stocks, real estate.

My guess is the recovery process will go in same order...gold has already started the recovery...I have been long GLD for few weeks now...will guess oil will start recovery before stocks do...if we have entered a true bear in stocks which I believe we did, bears will last most likely last approx a year from top to bottom.

JMHO of course.

Last edited by mact3333; 02-08-2016 at 02:22 PM..
Appreciate 0
      02-08-2016, 03:11 PM   #5568
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

SPX at 1835 right now...I want to see 1827 at the close today.

People ask me how I predict the markets...watch the first 5 seconds of this video...thats how I rub the crystal ball for insight...draw from my inner Edgar Cayce/Nostradamus.....


[u2b]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJHiJxG9rsU[/u2b]
Appreciate 0
      02-08-2016, 07:48 PM   #5569
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
153
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Nice call mact.

Nice bear flag on the daily but the weekly is still trading in range. Once we close below 180 on the SPY then I will be grabbing the popcorn
Attached Images
  
Appreciate 0
      02-08-2016, 10:43 PM   #5570
imserious
Major
430
Rep
1,056
Posts

Drives: 2011 E92 M3 MR
Join Date: Jan 2013
Location: Orange County, CA

iTrader: (4)

What is going on with gold bugs HUI? I was going to put money there and got scared off.

It shot up 30% in a matter of days...
Appreciate 0
      02-09-2016, 02:58 PM   #5571
DrFerry
Field Marshal
DrFerry's Avatar
United_States
6959
Rep
1,905
Posts

Drives: '08 E92 M3
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Greenville, SC

iTrader: (5)

Garage List
2008 BMW M3  [5.25]
2015 BMW X5  [4.50]
For those who have eyes to see and ears to hear.

http://x22report.com/wp-content/uplo...pisode_888.mp3
__________________
'08 E92 M3 DCT Melbourne Red/Bamboo Beige Leather/EDC/SSP Spec-R DCT clutch discs/SSP Pro-Gold DCT Fluid/Quaife LSD/3:45 Final Drive by Diffs Online/BE Bearings & ARP Bolts/Vibra Technics Engine Mounts/LUX H8 180/DCT Tune by BPM Sport/PFC Z-Rated Pads/ECS Brass Brake Caliper Bushings/Alex Shop Solid Sub-frame Bushings/Motul 600/Tint
Appreciate 0
      02-10-2016, 08:59 PM   #5572
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

we should be seeing 1780-1800 soon...not buying these fake rallies at all.
Appreciate 0
      02-11-2016, 11:45 AM   #5573
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
we should be seeing 1780-1800 soon...not buying these fake rallies at all.

The crystal ball says....we shall pass below 1800 soon(1813 the low so far) and as noted before, finds short term support near 1780...counter trend rally to low 1800's to the underbelly of a very long term price channel, then the selloff will be vicious imho....rallies into underbellies is a very dangerous to be if your long.

As noted last week though, this weeks target is 1780-1800 by end of day tomorrow and I stick with that.
Appreciate 0
      02-11-2016, 03:15 PM   #5574
dragonsi
Second Lieutenant
66
Rep
249
Posts

Drives: 2008 M3
Join Date: May 2013
Location: IL

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
The crystal ball says....we shall pass below 1800 soon(1813 the low so far) and as noted before, finds short term support near 1780...counter trend rally to low 1800's to the underbelly of a very long term price channel, then the selloff will be vicious imho....rallies into underbellies is a very dangerous to be if your long.

As noted last week though, this weeks target is 1780-1800 by end of day tomorrow and I stick with that.
So pardon I'm a newbie, it's always hard trying to decipher stock speak but are you saying...

we are going to hit 1780, rally to low 1800's, and then experience another huge sell off (below 1780)? I'm just very beginning to start trading now, trying to figure out when/where to enter...

Thinking of going long on VW Stock, Solar City, Tesla... thoughts?
Appreciate 0
      02-11-2016, 03:25 PM   #5575
ASBSECU E93
Know's a guy that know's a guy...
ASBSECU E93's Avatar
5646
Rep
1,905
Posts

Drives: 2010 335d; 2008 135i
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow

iTrader: (5)

Quote:
Originally Posted by dragonsi
Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
The crystal ball says....we shall pass below 1800 soon(1813 the low so far) and as noted before, finds short term support near 1780...counter trend rally to low 1800's to the underbelly of a very long term price channel, then the selloff will be vicious imho....rallies into underbellies is a very dangerous to be if your long.

As noted last week though, this weeks target is 1780-1800 by end of day tomorrow and I stick with that.
So pardon I'm a newbie, it's always hard trying to decipher stock speak but are you saying...

we are going to hit 1780, rally to low 1800's, and then experience another huge sell off (below 1780)? I'm just very beginning to start trading now, trying to figure out when/where to enter...

Thinking of going long on VW Stock, Solar City, Tesla... thoughts?
I think VW has not seen the bottom yet.

They will likely announce a buy-back on certain models, plus face extended class action litigation on newer models...
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lups View Post
She stood there. Pointed a finger at me and laughed at me. That damn bitch.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lups View Post
Poop shit, shit and poop. I'm mildly angry now.
Appreciate 0
      02-12-2016, 11:55 AM   #5576
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Looks like I missed on the low point by 10 points, this push down will only get to 1810 and not 1780-1800 like I thought...after this counter push up is over(won't last too long), we will be making new lows soon enough.
Appreciate 0
      02-12-2016, 12:05 PM   #5577
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Quote:
Originally Posted by dragonsi View Post
So pardon I'm a newbie, it's always hard trying to decipher stock speak but are you saying...

we are going to hit 1780, rally to low 1800's, and then experience another huge sell off (below 1780)? I'm just very beginning to start trading now, trying to figure out when/where to enter...

Thinking of going long on VW Stock, Solar City, Tesla... thoughts?


Now what I tell you to do probably won't make a lot of sense and it certainly won't be fun, but if you want to make money, buy a inverse etf for SPX thats single leveraged and don't look at it for 6 months...this way, you have a 80% chance of making good money...but if you are the average human, you won't be able to do this....greed, pride, need for action won't typically allow this for the average human.

In the stock mkt, if you want to make money you have to do exactly opposite what your mind is tell you to do and that should make intuitive sense since 90% of active traders lose money...this should also tell you when human emotions and fears get involved, you are at a huge disadvantage. When a newbie actively trades, unless you are in a bull market where anyone can throw darts, you have a 90% chance of losing your money...jmho.

If you truly feel we are in a bear market, then take unleveraged core short positions you plan on holding for a long time and when you think we will see a counter-trend short or intermediate term bear rally, hedge you short positions with longs temporarily.

Now if you want to catch falling knives by buying things like VW, TSLA, etc...you will be brushing your teeth with your toes in the future!.....

There will be dozens of great stocks to buy when the bear mkt is over...for me I think there will be a ton of upside in TWTR when the selling is over...I would love to see TWTR crater down to 5-10.00 eventually and when the bear over, buy and hold that one...I have a weird feeling it will one day do well like FB behaved when it first started trading.
Appreciate 0
      02-12-2016, 12:20 PM   #5578
John Tanglewood
Porn Star
John Tanglewood's Avatar
Jamaica
1334
Rep
3,357
Posts

Drives: E60 M5 | F95 X5M | F90 M5
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Stamford, CT

iTrader: (13)

Quote:
Originally Posted by DrFerry View Post
Listen up and listen well. So many here with a naive paradigm.

http://x22report.com/wp-content/uplo...pisode_880.mp3
What is the jist of this? That we won't enter another recession?

mact3333 what's your take on TastyTrade and what they do with options? Do you have any knowledge of their Dough platform and whether it would be a viable tool if you want to be actively involved in trading puts and calls?

Thanks!
__________________
Appreciate 0
      02-12-2016, 01:28 PM   #5579
ASBSECU E93
Know's a guy that know's a guy...
ASBSECU E93's Avatar
5646
Rep
1,905
Posts

Drives: 2010 335d; 2008 135i
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow

iTrader: (5)

@mact3333 or anyone for that matter....
Thoughts on UWTI?
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lups View Post
She stood there. Pointed a finger at me and laughed at me. That damn bitch.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lups View Post
Poop shit, shit and poop. I'm mildly angry now.
Appreciate 0
      02-14-2016, 01:37 AM   #5580
tc328
Lieutenant
372
Rep
530
Posts

Drives: 328
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: bstny

iTrader: (3)

Garage List
2007 3  [0.00]
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASBSECU E93
@mact3333 or anyone for that matter....
Thoughts on UWTI?
UWTI is only for day trade as its a 3 X leverage, there's no "thoughts" about it.

You buy it if you think wti crude oil will go up for that day...not something you want to hold long term. If you think oil is going up...uwti, or if you think its going down...dwti

I wouldnt hold it more than two weeks. Buy it, make 5-20%...then sell it (uwti or dwti). Then repeat.

Now for oil, I think we already hit the bottom when it went to $26 a barrel (was it $26??). It should slowly go back to $40-60 as thats where it should be.
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 04:29 PM   #5581
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Looks like I missed on the low point by 10 points, this push down will only get to 1810 and not 1780-1800 like I thought...after this counter push up is over(won't last too long), we will be making new lows soon enough.

Crystal ball says this now, we should sell off abit as we are over bought on VST basis but this will be very short lived...then we head up again to near 1950-70(I take off my long hedges at this point)...then the bear re-emerges and we see some strong selling again making new lows.

JMHO.
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 04:32 PM   #5582
Frozen
Captain
Frozen's Avatar
United_States
600
Rep
853
Posts

Drives: Frozen Red e92 ZCP
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: SF Bay Area

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Crystal ball says this now, we should sell off abit as we are over bought on VST basis but this will be very short lived...then we head up again to near 1950-70(I take off my long hedges at this point)...then the bear re-emerges and we see some strong selling again making new lows.

JMHO.
I disagree. I think we hit bottom and it's quite a ways up from here.
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 04:35 PM   #5583
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Quote:
Originally Posted by e90m305 View Post
I disagree. I think we hit bottom and it's quite a ways up from here.
Fair enough, you must think we are in secular bull still where I think tide has changed and we are in secular bear.

We shall see...
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 04:36 PM   #5584
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Quote:
Originally Posted by John Tanglewood View Post
What is the jist of this? That we won't enter another recession?

mact3333 what's your take on TastyTrade and what they do with options? Do you have any knowledge of their Dough platform and whether it would be a viable tool if you want to be actively involved in trading puts and calls?

Thanks!

Sorry no knowledge of them whatsoever.
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 09:54 PM   #5585
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
153
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Strong resistance up ahead at 195. Strong support is still holding strong at 180
Attached Images
 
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 10:43 PM   #5586
EstorilM
Cars, beer, hiking
EstorilM's Avatar
368
Rep
259
Posts

Drives: 2017 M2
Join Date: May 2015
Location: PNW

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inspired View Post
Strong resistance up ahead at 195. Strong support is still holding strong at 180
Can you give me a 2 sec explanation of how you get those two blue limits? Or a subject to google. I am interested. Just getting starting with investing.
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 10:44 PM   #5587
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
153
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by EstorilM View Post
Can you give me a 2 sec explanation of how you get those two blue limits? Or a subject to google. I am interested. Just getting starting with investing.
http://www.investopedia.com/universi...hanalysis4.asp

Also google support, resistance, and trendlines
Appreciate 0
      02-17-2016, 10:46 PM   #5588
EstorilM
Cars, beer, hiking
EstorilM's Avatar
368
Rep
259
Posts

Drives: 2017 M2
Join Date: May 2015
Location: PNW

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inspired View Post
http://www.investopedia.com/universi...hanalysis4.asp

Also google support, resistance, and trendlines
Thank you!
Appreciate 0
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:09 AM.




g87
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST